Sunday, January 23, 2005

Call of the Week: BSC249@Bugsys (42%)

Event Name: Bugsys NL Shootout $7,500 Guaranteed
Event Started: Sunday January 23rd 3:00:09 PM CST 2005
Event Buy-In: $50+$5 ($11,050 total prize pool)
Level VI: 25 Ante 100/200 Blinds (25 Minimum Chip)
Average Stack: 12,848.83 (10,000 starting chips)
Remaining Players: 172 (221 started)

Seat 1 : DaMatrix starts with 19,825
Seat 2 : VulcanRider starts with 12,525
Seat 3 : BSC249 starts with 12,625
Seat 4 : 3-4-cd starts with 11,000
Seat 5 : Grumdad starts with 8,075
Seat 6 : Kailyn31 starts with 10,600
Seat 7 : Lynbrook starts with 5,925
Seat 8 : AIRBORNE1 starts with 15,025
Seat 9 : CARIFE starts with 6,700
Seat 10 : IRONWOLF1 starts with 20,850
Seat 3 : BSC249 has the dealer button

***DEALING HOLE CARDS***
DaMatrix dealt down Kh As

DaMatrix posts the ante 25
VulcanRider posts the ante 25
BSC249 posts the ante 25
3-4-cd posts the ante 25
Grumdad posts the ante 25
Kailyn31 posts the ante 25
Lynbrook posts the ante 25
AIRBORNE1 posts the ante 25
CARIFE posts the ante 25
IRONWOLF1 posts the ante 25
3-4-cd posts the small blind 100
Grumdad posts the big blind 200
Kailyn31 folds
Lynbrook folds
AIRBORNE1 folds
CARIFE calls 200
IRONWOLF1 folds
DaMatrix raises 950 to 1,150
VulcanRider folds
BSC249 calls 1,150
3-4-cd folds
Grumdad folds
CARIFE folds

***DEALING FLOP*** [ 9s Kc 6s ] (POT = 3,050)
DaMatrix checks
BSC249 bets 500
(POT 3,550)
DaMatrix raises 18,150 to 18,650 and is all-in (POT = 3,550+10,950= 14,500)
BSC249 calls 10,950 and is all-in (TOTAL POT = 25,450)
DaMatrix takes back 7,200

DaMatrix cards were As Kh (58%)
BSC249 cards were Ts Ks (42%)

***DEALING TURN*** [ 7d ]

***DEALING RIVER*** [ Tc ]

BSC249 wins 25,950 with two pair, kings and tens

***SUMMARY***
Total Pot: 25,950
Board: [ 9s Kc 6s 7d Tc ]

Seat 1 : DaMatrix lost 12,625, showed hand [ As Kh ]
Seat 2 : VulcanRider lost 25, folded pre-flop
Seat 3 : BSC249 (button) bet 12,625, won 25,950, net +13,325, showed hand [ Ts Ks ]
Seat 4 : 3-4-cd (small blind) lost 125, folded pre-flop
Seat 5 : Grumdad (big blind) lost 225, folded pre-flop
Seat 6 : Kailyn31 lost 25, folded pre-flop
Seat 7 : Lynbrook lost 25, folded pre-flop
Seat 8 : AIRBORNE1 lost 25, folded pre-flop
Seat 9 : CARIFE lost 225, folded pre-flop
Seat 10 : IRONWOLF1 lost 25, folded pre-flop

********************************************
I ended up finishing 80/221
BSC249 went on to finish 43rd

Congratulations to ssaandra123 for winning the shootout and $3,094!

At the time I couln't believe the call by BSC249. On further analysis, considering the pot, his decision to call wasn't such a bad one - theoretically.

But, calling all in early in a tournament for no +EV isn't a wise thing to do (On the flop of Kc9s6s. The AsKh v KsTs match up is 57.8/42.2%. The call was 10,950 to win 14,500, for a total pot of 25,450) .

What could I have done differently?

Flat called the 500 bet on the flop waiting for a blank (no spade) on the turn. With the 7d turn, the match up would of been 68.2/31.8%. Surely he would not have called an all-in here....would he?